# Anthony Lakes Mountain Resort snow forecast, 14-day multi-model blend

Canonical page: https://www.peakcam.io/resorts/anthony-lakes/snow-forecast  ·  Resort: https://www.peakcam.io/resorts/anthony-lakes  ·  JSON: https://www.peakcam.io/api/v1/resorts/anthony-lakes/forecast  ·  Accuracy JSON: https://www.peakcam.io/api/v1/resorts/anthony-lakes/forecast-accuracy

Per day, the median snowfall across the models that reach that day (ECMWF IFS, GFS, GEM, ICON, JMA, Météo-France, UKMO, plus NBM and HRRR for US points), fetched every 6 hours from Open-Meteo at the resort's summit and base elevations; the low/high band is the 25th/75th percentile across models, so a wide band means the models disagree.

## Blend at the summit

Issued 12:00 PM MT on Nov 4, 2026 · 9 models (ECMWF IFS 0.25°, GEM, HRRR, GFS, ICON, JMA, ARPEGE/AROME, NBM (CONUS), UKMO) · next 48 h 0.6 in · 7 days 0.6 in · 14 days 6 in · peak 1.6 in on 2026-11-16

| Date | Snow (median) | Low – high (p25–p75) | High / low °F | Precip % | Gust mph | Models |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 2026-11-04 | 0 in | 0 in – 0 in | 40° / 23° | 0 | 11 | 9 |
| 2026-11-05 | 0.6 in | 0.4 in – 0.6 in | 32° / 22° | 32 | 16 | 9 |
| 2026-11-06 | 0 in | 0 in – 0 in | 40° / 22° | 3 | 13 | 8 |
| 2026-11-07 | 0 in | 0 in – 0 in | 44° / 28° | 1 | 26 | 8 |
| 2026-11-08 | 0 in | 0 in – 0 in | 38° / 27° | 10 | 22 | 7 |
| 2026-11-09 | 0 in | 0 in – 0 in | 41° / 24° | 7 | 14 | 7 |
| 2026-11-10 | 0 in | 0 in – 0 in | 41° / 26° | 15 | 22 | 6 |
| 2026-11-11 | 0 in | 0 in – 0.3 in | 41° / 29° | 17 | 28 | 5 |
| 2026-11-12 | 0.7 in | 0.7 in – 1 in | 37° / 23° | 26 | 32 | 5 |
| 2026-11-13 | 0.2 in | 0 in – 1.4 in | 29° / 19° | 40 | 22 | 5 |
| 2026-11-14 | 0.5 in | 0.2 in – 1 in | 32° / 28° | 41 | 29 | 4 |
| 2026-11-15 | 1.4 in | 0.7 in – 2 in | 31° / 16° | 42 | 36 | 2 |
| 2026-11-16 | 1.6 in | 1.5 in – 1.6 in | 25° / 13° | 34 | 29 | 2 |
| 2026-11-17 | 1.1 in | 0.6 in – 1.6 in | 29° / 16° | 32 | 27 | 2 |

## Blend at the base

Issued 12:00 PM MT on Nov 4, 2026 · 9 models (ECMWF IFS 0.25°, GEM, HRRR, GFS, ICON, JMA, ARPEGE/AROME, NBM (CONUS), UKMO) · next 48 h 0.4 in · 7 days 0.4 in · 14 days 5.7 in · peak 1.6 in on 2026-11-16

| Date | Snow (median) | Low – high (p25–p75) | High / low °F | Precip % | Gust mph | Models |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 2026-11-04 | 0 in | 0 in – 0 in | 43° / 25° | 0 | 10 | 9 |
| 2026-11-05 | 0.4 in | 0.2 in – 0.4 in | 35° / 24° | 35 | 16 | 9 |
| 2026-11-06 | 0 in | 0 in – 0 in | 43° / 25° | 3 | 14 | 8 |
| 2026-11-07 | 0 in | 0 in – 0 in | 47° / 30° | 1 | 26 | 8 |
| 2026-11-08 | 0 in | 0 in – 0 in | 41° / 30° | 10 | 22 | 7 |
| 2026-11-09 | 0 in | 0 in – 0 in | 44° / 27° | 7 | 14 | 7 |
| 2026-11-10 | 0 in | 0 in – 0 in | 43° / 29° | 15 | 22 | 6 |
| 2026-11-11 | 0 in | 0 in – 0.1 in | 41° / 32° | 17 | 28 | 5 |
| 2026-11-12 | 0.7 in | 0.5 in – 0.8 in | 40° / 26° | 26 | 32 | 5 |
| 2026-11-13 | 0.2 in | 0 in – 1 in | 32° / 22° | 40 | 22 | 5 |
| 2026-11-14 | 0.4 in | 0.2 in – 0.8 in | 32° / 30° | 41 | 29 | 4 |
| 2026-11-15 | 1.4 in | 0.7 in – 2 in | 35° / 19° | 42 | 36 | 2 |
| 2026-11-16 | 1.6 in | 1.5 in – 1.6 in | 28° / 17° | 34 | 29 | 2 |
| 2026-11-17 | 1.1 in | 0.6 in – 1.6 in | 33° / 19° | 32 | 27 | 2 |

## Every model, summit point

| Model | Issued | Horizon | 11-04 | 11-05 | 11-06 | 11-07 | 11-08 | 11-09 | 11-10 | 11-11 | 11-12 | 11-13 | 11-14 | 11-15 | 11-16 | 11-17 |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| ECMWF IFS 0.25° | 12:00 PM MT on Nov 4, 2026 | 14 d | 0 | 0.6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.1 | 0 | 0 | 2.5 | 10.4 | 0.6 | 6.9 | 3.9 | 5.5 |
| GEM | 12:00 PM MT on Nov 4, 2026 | 10 d | 0 | 2.7 | 0 | 0 | 0.6 | 0 | 0 | 0.8 | 1.9 | 0.4 | – | – | – | – |
| HRRR | 12:00 PM MT on Nov 4, 2026 | 2 d | 0 | 1.5 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| GFS | 12:00 PM MT on Nov 4, 2026 | 14 d | 0 | 1.5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.2 | 4 | 0 |
| ICON | 12:00 PM MT on Nov 4, 2026 | 7 d | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| JMA | 12:00 PM MT on Nov 4, 2026 | 11 d | 0 | 1.6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3.9 | – | – | – |
| ARPEGE/AROME | 12:00 PM MT on Nov 4, 2026 | 4 d | 0 | 1.4 | 0 | 0 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| NBM (CONUS) | 12:00 PM MT on Nov 4, 2026 | 11 d | 0 | 0.6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.3 | 2.1 | 1.8 | 3.6 | 2.1 | – | – | – |
| UKMO | 12:00 PM MT on Nov 4, 2026 | 6 d | 0 | 0.9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.1 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |

Per-model values are snowfall in cm per day as the provider stores them; a dash means the model does not reach that day.

## How the models have verified here (90 days)

Truth: 24 h depth change at Wolf Creek; 89 measured days; graded at the base point.

| Rank | Model | Day-1 MAE cm | Day-3 MAE cm | Day-7 MAE cm | Bias ratio | Samples |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 1 | ARPEGE/AROME | 1.24 | 1.09 | – | 0.51 | 14 |
| 2 | ICON | 1.3 | 1.36 | – | 0.43 | 14 |
| 3 | ECMWF IFS 0.25° | 1.36 | 0.87 | 1.65 | 0.51 | 14 |
| 4 | UKMO | 1.39 | 1.08 | – | 0.42 | 14 |
| 5 | GFS | 1.61 | 1.25 | 2.64 | 0.88 | 14 |
| 6 | HRRR | 1.61 | – | – | 0.97 | 14 |
| 7 | JMA | 1.71 | 2.12 | 2.78 | 1.18 | 14 |
| 8 | PeakCam blend | 1.72 | 1.06 | 1.41 | 0.5 | 14 |
| 9 | GEM | 2.05 | 1 | 1.47 | 0.81 | 14 |
| 10 | NBM (CONUS) | 2.45 | 1.4 | 1.13 | 1.32 | 14 |

For every day in the window with a measured value, the forecast for that day from each model's newest run issued 1, 3 and 7 days earlier is compared with the measured 24 h new snow (SNOTEL depth change clipped at zero, so settlement makes the measured value a floor). MAE is in cm; bias ratio is total forecast over total measured; the blend is graded by the same rule.

Weather data by Open-Meteo.com (CC BY 4.0, https://open-meteo.com). Methodology: https://www.peakcam.io/methodology#forecast  ·  Attribution: PeakCam (https://www.peakcam.io)  ·  Terms: https://www.peakcam.io/about#terms